Heat vs. Bucks prediction, odds, start time: 2023 NBA playoff picks, Game 5 bets from model on 71-38 run

The Milwaukee Bucks will host the Miami Heat in a crucial Game 5 contest on Wednesday night. The Heat own a 3-1 edge after picking up two straight wins at home, and in Game 4, Miami beat the Bucks 119-114. Milwaukee went 58-24 in the regular season and rolled into the 2023 NBA playoffs as the No. 1 seed. Meanwhile, Miami was 44-38 and beat the Chicago Bulls in the Play-In Tournament to secure the eighth seed. Victor Oladipo (knee) and Tyler Herro (hand) are out for Miami.

Tip-off is scheduled for 9:30 p.m. ET at the Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee. Caesars Sportsbook lists Milwaukee as a 12-point favorite in the latest Heat vs. Bucks odds, while the over/under for total points is 220.5. Before making any Bucks vs. Heat picks, you’ll want to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past four-plus seasons. The model entered the third week of the 2023 NBA playoffs a stunning 71-38 on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning nearly $2,800. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Heat vs. Bucks and just locked in its picks and NBA playoff predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NBA odds and betting lines for Bucks vs. Heat:

• Heat vs. Bucks spread: Milwaukee -12
• Heat vs. Bucks over/under: 220.5 points 
• Heat vs. Bucks money line: Milwaukee -650, Miami +460
• MIA: The Heat are 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall
• MIL: The Bucks are 16-5-1 ATS in their last 22 Wednesday games
• Heat vs. Bucks picks: See picks at SportsLine

Featured Game | Milwaukee Bucks vs. Miami Heat

Why the Heat can cover

Forward Jimmy Butler always plays the game with an edge. Butler is relentless in attacking the basket and drawing contact at the rim. The six-time All-Star has been unstoppable in this series and went bonkers in his last contest. On Monday, Butler dropped a franchise-high 56 points with nine boards to secure the win. The Marquette product is leading the team in points (36.5), assists (5), and steals (1.8) in the 2023 NBA playoffs. 

Forward Caleb Martin is an athletic swingman in the frontcourt. Martin has been a shifty ball-handler and really knows how to space the floor. The Nevada product is averaging 13.5 points and six rebounds while shooting 46% from beyond the arc in the postseason. He’s scored in double figures in all four games against the Bucks thus far. In Game 4, Martin logged 12 points and nine boards. See which side to back at SportsLine.

Why the Bucks can cover

Guard Jrue Holiday is a solid two-way playmaker who is an agile and versatile defender for the Bucks. The two-time All-Star also makes great reads as a passer, leading the team in assists (8.5) this series with 18.3 points and six rebounds per game. In Game 2, he dropped 24 points and 11 assists.

Center Brook Lopez is a lengthy shot-blocker who owns a reliable jumper to space the floor. Lopez is leading the team in blocks (2) with 19.3 points and 5.5 rebounds per game this postseason. In his last matchup, Lopez had 36 points, 11 rebounds, and three blocks, while his frontcourt mate, Bobby Portis, is another effective player. Portis gets buckets in a flash off the bench due to his smooth jumper and strength at the rim. He’s putting up 12 points and 9.2 rebounds per contest in the playoffs. See which side to back at SportsLine.

How to make Bucks vs. Heat picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning Over on the point total, projecting the teams to combine for 224 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations. You can see the model’s picks at SportsLine. 

So who wins Heat vs. Bucks? And which side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that is 71-38 on top-rated NBA picks, and find out.