College Basketball

Houston vs. Memphis prediction, odds, start time: 2023 AAC Tournament final picks, best bets by proven model

jamal shead

The No. 1-ranked and top-seeded Houston Cougars will look to finish off their third consecutive American Athletic Conference Tournament championship when they meet the second-seeded Memphis Tigers on Sunday in Fort Worth, Texas. The Cougars (31-2, 17-1 AAC), who posted a 71-53 victory over Memphis last year, have won 13 in a row and 22 of their last 23. The Tigers (25-8, 13-5) have won 13 of their last 15 games. The only two losses in that span were against the Cougars.

Tip-off is set for 3:15 p.m. ET. Memphis leads the all-time series 35-23, but Houston holds a 6-0 series edge in games played on neutral courts. The Cougars are 6-point favorites in the latest Memphis vs. Houston odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is set at 136. Before making any Houston vs. Memphis picks, be sure to see the college basketball predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s advanced computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. The model enters conference tournament week 76-51 on all-top rated college basketball picks this season, returning nearly $1,200 for $100 players. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns. 

Now the model has zeroed in on Houston vs. Memphis and just locked in its picks and CBB predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several college basketball odds and betting lines for Memphis vs. Houston:

  • Memphis vs. Houston spread: Houston -6
  • Memphis vs. Houston over/under: 136 points
  • Memphis vs. Houston money line: Memphis +205, Houston -250
  • MEM: The Tigers are 4-1 against the spread in their last five games following a straight-up win
  • HOU: The Cougars are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 neutral-site games
  • Memphis vs. Houston picks: See picks at SportsLine

Featured Game | Houston Cougars vs. Memphis Tigers

Why Houston can cover

Junior forward J’Wan Roberts just missed a double-double in Saturday’s semifinal win over Cincinnati. He finished with 16 points and eight rebounds in 26 minutes of action. For the year, he is averaging 10.3 points, 7.3 rebounds and one assist per game. He is connecting on 63.4% of his field goals and 72.5% of his free throws.

Junior guard Jamal Shead has been red hot of late, scoring 10 or more points in 14 of the past 16 games. He’s had one double-double during that span, recording 14 points and 10 assists in an 82-71 win at Central Florida on Jan. 25. He scored 10 points and dished out 11 assists in a 100-52 victory over Norfolk on Nov. 29. In Sunday’s win over Cincinnati, he scored 16 points, dished out nine assists and grabbed four rebounds.

Why Memphis can cover

Senior guard Kendric Davis poured in 20 points, dished out six assists and grabbed five rebounds in Saturday’s semifinal win over Tulane. The transfer from SMU has scored 20 or more points in each of the last five games, including one double-double. In an 81-62 win at SMU on March 2, he scored 23 points and dished out 10 assists. In 32 games, all starts, he is averaging 18.2 points, 3.7 rebounds and 5.7 assists.

Also powering the Tigers is senior forward Deandre Williams, who is coming off a 27-point, 11-rebound and four-assist effort against Tulane on Saturday. He scored 35 points and grabbed 13 rebounds in Friday’s quarterfinal win over Central Florida. He has been red hot from the floor, connecting on 53.8% of his field goals, 40.3% of his 3-pointers and 73% of his free throws. In 33 games, all starts, he is averaging 17.9 points, 7.9 rebounds and 2.9 assists.

How to make Memphis vs. Houston picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning Over on the total, projecting 145 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits over 70% of the time. You can only see the model’s picks at SportsLine. 

So who wins Houston vs. Memphis? And which side of the spread hits more than 70% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its college basketball picks, and find out.  

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Publish Date:2023-03-13 01:54:40

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