NBA

NBA Western Conference playoff picture: Nuggets clinch top-six seed; Lakers jump Thunder, take hold of No. 9

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The Denver Nuggets clinched at least a top-six seed with a win over the Detroit Pistons on Thursday, joining the Milwaukee Bucks as the first two teams to seal playoff spots. 

Below is a comprehensive snapshot of where things stand in the Western Conference playoff and play-in races entering play on Friday. This post will update daily throughout the remainder of the regular season or until all seeds are clinched. 

Reminder on how the play-in tournament works: No. 7 plays No. 8 and No. 9 plays No. 10. The winner of the 7-8 game gets the No. 7 seed, while the loser plays the winner of the 9-10 game for the  No. 8 seed. 

READ: Eastern Conference playoff picture

NOTE: Our SportsLine model, developed by predictive data engineer Stephen Oh, simulates the entire season 10,000 times to produce the most unbiased and precise projections imaginable.

WESTERN CONFERENCE

  • Projected seed:¬†1
  • Current first-round matchup:¬†TBD
  • Tiebreaker vs. Memphis: Nuggets have clinched
  • Tiebreaker vs. Sacramento:¬†Season series tied 1-1 with one to play
  • Tiebreaker vs. Phoenix: Nuggets lead season series 2-0 with two to play
  • Projected seed:¬†3
  • Current first-round matchup:¬†Winner of Timberwolves/Mavericks play-in
  • Tiebreaker vs. Denver:¬†Tied 1-1 with one to play
  • Tiebreaker vs. Memphis:¬†Kings currently own via conference win percentage¬†
  • Tiebreaker vs. Phoenix:¬†Suns lead 2-1 with one to play
  • Tiebreaker vs. Golden State:¬†Warriors¬†lead 2-1 with one to play
  • Projected seed: 2
  • Current first-round matchup:¬†vs. Warriors
  • Tiebreaker vs. Denver:¬†Nuggets have clinched
  • Tiebreaker vs. Sacramento:¬†Kings currently own via conference record
  • Tiebreaker vs. Phoenix:¬†Grizzlies own via division leader

4. Phoenix Suns (38-32)

  • Projected seed: 4
  • Current first-round matchup:¬†vs. Clippers
  • Tiebreaker vs. Memphis:¬†Grizzlies own via division leader
  • Tiebreaker vs. Sacramento: Phoenix leads 2-1 with one to play
  • Tiebreaker vs. Golden State:¬†Suns have clinched¬†
  • Tiebreaker vs. Timberwolves: Suns lead 2-1 with one to play
  • Tiebreaker vs. Dallas: Suns currently own via conference win percentage
  • Tiebreaker vs. Clippers: Suns lead 2-1 with one to play

5. Los Angeles Clippers (37-33)

  • Projected seed:¬†5
  • Current first-round matchup:¬†at Suns
  • Tiebreaker vs. Phoenix:¬†Suns lead 2-1 with one to play
  • Tiebreaker vs. Golden State:¬†Clippers lead via division win percentage
  • Tiebreaker vs. Timberwolves:¬†Wolves clinched¬†
  • Tiebreaker vs. Dallas:¬†Mavericks currently own via conference record
  • Tiebreaker vs. New Orleans:¬†Pelicans lead 1-0 with two to play
  • Tiebreaker vs. Utah:¬†Jazz¬†clinched
  • Tiebreaker vs. Lakers:¬†Clippers clinched

6. Golden State Warriors (36-34)

  • Projected seed:¬†6
  • Current first-round matchup:¬†at Grizzlies
  • Tiebreaker vs. Phoenix:¬†Suns have clinched¬†
  • Tiebreaker vs. Timberwolves:¬†Warriors lead 2-1 with one to play
  • Tiebreaker vs. Dallas:¬†Tied 1-1 with one to play
  • Tiebreaker vs. Clippers: Clippers lead via division win percentage
  • Tiebreaker vs. New Orleans:¬†Pelicans¬†lead 2-1 with one to play
  • Tiebreaker vs. Utah:¬†Warriors clinched

Play-In Tournament

7. Minnesota Timberwolves (35-35)

  • Projected seed:¬†8
  • Current first-round matchup:¬†vs. Mavericks (play-in)
  • Tiebreaker vs. Phoenix:¬†Suns lead 2-1 with one to play
  • Tiebreaker vs. Golden State:¬†Warriors lead 2-1 with one to play
  • Tiebreaker vs. Dallas:¬†Wolves clinched¬†
  • Tiebreaker vs. Clippers:¬†Wolves clinched
  • Tiebreaker vs. New Orleans:¬†Tied 1-1 with one to play
  • Tiebreaker vs. Utah:¬†Wolves currently own via division record
  • Tiebreaker vs. Lakers:¬†Wolves clinched

8. Dallas Mavericks (35-35)

  • Projected seed: 9
  • Current first-round matchup:¬†at Timberwolves (play-in)
  • Tiebreaker vs. Phoenix:¬†Suns owns via conference win percentage
  • Tiebreaker vs. Golden State:¬†Tied 1-1 with one to play
  • Tiebreaker vs. Timberwolves:¬†Wolves clinched¬†
  • Tiebreaker vs. Clippers:¬†Dallas currently owns via conference record
  • Tiebreaker vs. New Orleans:¬†Dallas leads 2-1 with one to play
  • Tiebreaker vs. Utah:¬†Dallas leads 2-1 with one to play
  • Tiebreaker vs. Lakers:¬†Dallas leads 2-1 with one to play

9. Los Angeles Lakers (34-36)

  • Projected seed:¬†7
  • Current first-round matchup: vs. Thunder (play-in)
  • Tiebreaker vs. Clippers:¬†Clippers clinched
  • Tiebreaker vs. Timberwolves: Wolves clinched
  • Tiebreaker vs. New Orleans:¬†Lakers clinched
  • Tiebreaker vs. Utah:¬†Jazz lead 2-0 with two to play
  • Tiebreaker vs. OKC:¬†Tied 1-1 with one to play
  • Tiebreaker vs. Portland:¬†Blazers currently own via conference win percentage
  • Projected seed:¬†10
  • Current first-round matchup:¬†at Lakers (play-in)
  • Tiebreaker vs. New Orleans:¬†Pelicans clinched
  • Tiebreaker vs. Utah:¬†OKC leads 2-1 with one to play
  • Tiebreaker vs. Lakers:¬†Tied 1-1 with one to play
  • Tiebreaker vs. Portland:¬†OKC clinched

Outside Looking In

11. Utah Jazz (33-36)

  • Projected seed:¬†Lottery
  • Tiebreaker vs. New Orleans:¬†Jazz Clinched
  • Tiebreaker vs. Lakers:¬†Jazz lead 2-0 with two to play
  • Tiebreaker vs. OKC:¬†Thunder lead 2-1 with one to play
  • Tiebreaker vs. Portland:¬†Blazers lead 2-1 with one to play

12. New Orleans Pelicans (33-36)

  • Projected seed: Lottery
  • Tiebreaker vs. Golden State:¬†Pelicans lead 2-1 with one to play
  • Tiebreaker vs. Timberwolves:¬† Tied 1-1 with one to play
  • Tiebreaker vs. Dallas:¬†Mavericks lead 2-1 with one to play
  • Tiebreaker vs. Utah:¬†Jazz clinched
  • Tiebreaker vs. Lakers:¬†Lakers clinched
  • Tiebreaker vs. OKC:¬†Pelicans clinched
  • Tiebreaker vs. Portland:¬†Pelicans clinched
  • Projected seed:¬†Lottery
  • Tiebreaker vs. Utah:¬†Blazers lead 2-1 with one to play
  • Tiebreaker vs. Lakers:¬†Blazers currently own via conference win percentage
  • Tiebreaker vs. New Orleans:¬†Pelicans clinched
  • Tiebreaker vs. OKC:¬†Thunder clinched

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Publish Date:2023-03-17 18:00:31

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