NCAA Tournament 2023 bracket: Computer simulation predicts surprising upsets and March Madness picks, sleepers

The 68-team field for 2023 March Madness 2023 has been announced, and just one team in the NCAA Tournament bracket 2023 is making its tournament debut. Kennesaw State went 1-28 in the 2019-20 season, but claimed the A-Sun bid this year. Meanwhile, Furman ended one of the longest droughts in NCAA Tournament history after it secured its first March Madness bid since 1980. No. 13 Furman takes on 4-seed Virginia in the first round of the March Madness bracket 2023, while No. 14 Kennesaw State faces No. 3 Xavier.

Alabama is the top overall seed in the NCAA basketball bracket 2023 and could meet Virginia or Furman in the Sweet 16. But first, the Tide aren’t looking past their first round opponent, either Texas A&M-Corpus Christi or Southeast Missouri State. Which lower seeds have the best chances at pulling off 2023 March Madness upsets? Before you make your 2023 NCAA Tournament predictions, see the March Madness bracket picks from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulated the entire 2023 NCAA Tournament 10,000 times. It has absolutely crushed its March Madness picks, beating over 92% of all CBS Sports brackets two of the last four tournaments. The model also nailed three teams in the West and South Region Sweet 16 last year, including No. 5 seed Houston.

It knows how to spot an upset as well. The same model has produced brackets that have nailed 18 first-round upsets by double-digit seeds. It also nailed some massive upsets two years ago, including predicting the championship game between Gonzaga and Baylor and hitting Houston’s Midwest Region win even though the Cougars weren’t the No. 1 seed.

Now, SportsLine’s advanced computer model has simulated the entire NCAA Tournament 10,000 times to come up with the perfect 2023 NCAA Tournament bracket and find out which teams will pull off the biggest upsets. You shouldn’t even think about making a pick without seeing what their model has to say.

Top 2023 March Madness bracket upset picks

One 2023 March Madness matchup to keep an eye on: No. 8 Memphis vs. No. 9 Florida Atlantic in the East region. Both teams bring balance into this NCAA Tournament 2023 matchup, as each ranks among the top 40 in offensive and defensive efficiency, per KenPom. Memphis has the AAC’s all-time leading scorer, Kendric Davis, who led the conference in points (21.8 per game) and assists (5.7 per game) this season. FAU counters with 7-foot-1 center Vladislav Goldin, who’s been a key force on both ends of the court in the Owls’ current seven-game winning streak.

Also in the East Region, it’s No. 5 Duke vs. No. 12 Oral Roberts. Momentum matters in March and Duke has it with nine straight wins entering 2023 March Madness. The team won its conference tournament, as did Oral Roberts, which also claimed the Summit League regular season title. The Golden Eagles make the second-most three-pointers per game (10.8) in Division I while also blocking the fifth-most shots per game (5.4) in college basketball.

The third matchup to watch is also in the East Regional: No. 6 Kentucky vs. No. 11 Providence. The Friars can exploit an opponent in many ways, with five players averaging in double-figures, led by All-Big East First-Team selection Bryce Hopkins’ 16.1 points per game. Meanwhile, this Kentucky team is a departure from years past, as its top three scorers are all upperclassmen. After losing in the first round as a 2-seed last year, the Wildcats will have built up scar tissue from that upset. See which other 2023 March Madness matchups to target here.

How to make 2023 NCAA Tournament bracket predictions

Who wins every tournament-defining matchup? And which teams will make surprising runs through the 2023 NCAA Tournament bracket? With the model’s track record of calling bracket-busting upsets, you’ll want to see which stunners it’s calling this year before locking in any 2023 NCAA bracket picks.

So what’s the optimal NCAA Tournament 2023 bracket? And which NCAA Tournament Cinderella teams will shock college basketball? Visit SportsLine now to see which double-digit seeds you can back with confidence, all from the model that’s called 18 upsets by double-digit seeds.