NCAA Tournament 2023 bracket: Computer simulation reveals surprising upsets, March Madness picks, sleepers

History would suggest that the 2023 NCAA Tournament bracket will be full of upsets with at least one March Madness Cinderella team making a deep run. The Alabama Crimson Tide were awarded the top overall seed for March Madness 2023 on Selection Sunday, with Kansas, Houston, and Purdue landing the three remaining No. 1 seeds. Kennesaw State of the Atlantic Sun Conference will make the program’s first ever NCAA Tournament appearance as a No. 14 seed in the Midwest Region. Gonzaga will try to make noise as a No. 3 seed in the West Region of the 2023 NCAA basketball bracket.

Can Kansas roll through the West Region and go on a run to defend their national title? Will a 2023 NCAA Tournament bracket-buster get hot and shock the college basketball world? Before you make your 2023 NCAA Tournament predictions, see the March Madness bracket picks from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulated the entire 2023 NCAA Tournament 10,000 times. It has absolutely crushed its March Madness picks, beating over 92% of all CBS Sports brackets two of the last four tournaments. The model also nailed three teams in the West and South Region Sweet 16 last year, including No. 5 seed Houston.

It knows how to spot an upset as well. The same model has produced brackets that have nailed 18 first-round upsets by double-digit seeds. It also nailed some massive upsets two years ago, including predicting the championship game between Gonzaga and Baylor and hitting Houston’s Midwest Region win even though the Cougars weren’t the No. 1 seed.

Now, SportsLine’s advanced computer model has simulated the entire NCAA Tournament 10,000 times to come up with the perfect 2023 NCAA Tournament bracket and find out which teams will pull off the biggest upsets. You shouldn’t even think about making a pick without seeing what their model has to say.

Top 2023 March Madness bracket upset picks

One 2023 March Madness matchup to keep an eye on: No. 8 Memphis vs. No. 9 Florida Atlantic in the East. Both teams bring balance into this NCAA Tournament 2023 matchup, as each ranks among the top 40 in offensive and defensive efficiency, per KenPom. Memphis has the AAC’s all-time leading scorer, Kendric Davis, who led the conference in points (21.8 per game) and assists (5.7 per game) this season. FAU counters with 7-foot-1 center Vladislav Goldin, who’s been a key force on both ends of the court in the Owls’ current seven-game winning streak.

In the East Region, all eyes will be on Duke, who is making its first NCAA Tournament appearance under head coach Jon Sheyer. The Blue Devils are coming off an impressive run to the ACC Tournament title. Oral Roberts, the darling of the 2021 NCAA Tournament, is one of the best offensive teams in the country, scoring 84.2 points per game. Duke is playing well heading into March Madness 2023, but will be on upset alert against an experienced and scrappy Golden Eagles squad.

Another matchup to watch in the East Region is No. 6 Kentucky vs. No. 11 Providence. The Wildcats are led by 2022 National Player of the Year Oscar Tshiebwe and Antonio Reeves, who averaged 14.4 points per game during the regular season. The Friars are led by led by All-Big East First-Team selection Bryce Hopkins and have five players averaging double-digit points per game. Both teams had up-and-down regular seasons, but have the talent to make deep NCAA Tournament runs. See which other 2023 March Madness matchups to target here.

How to make 2023 NCAA Tournament bracket predictions

Who wins every tournament-defining matchup? And which teams will make surprising runs through the 2023 NCAA Tournament bracket? With the model’s track record of calling bracket-busting upsets, you’ll want to see which stunners it’s calling this year before locking in any 2023 NCAA bracket picks.

So what’s the optimal NCAA Tournament 2023 bracket? And which NCAA Tournament Cinderella teams will shock college basketball? Visit SportsLine now to see which double-digit seeds you can back with confidence, all from the model that’s called 18 upsets by double-digit seeds.