Warriors vs. Kings prediction, odds, start time: 2023 NBA playoff picks, Game 5 bets from model on 71-38 run

The Golden State Warriors travel to take on the Sacramento Kings in a Western Conference showdown on Wednesday evening. This series has gone back and forth, with both teams defending their home court, and on Sunday, the Warriors topped the Kings 126-125. Golden State was one of the worst road teams in the league, logging an 11-30 record in the regular season. Meanwhile, the Kings went 23-18 at Golden 1 Center entering the 2023 NBA playoffs. Guard De’Aaron Fox (finger) is listed as questionable for the Kings. 

Tip-off is scheduled for 10 p.m. ET at Golden 1 Center in Sacramento, Calif. Caesars Sportsbook lists Golden State as a 2-point favorite in the latest Warriors vs. Kings odds, while the over/under for total points is 235. Before making any Kings vs. Warriors picks, you’ll want to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past four-plus seasons. The model entered the third week of the 2023 NBA playoffs a stunning 71-38 on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning nearly $2,800. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Warriors vs. Kings and just locked in its picks and NBA playoff predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NBA odds and betting lines for Kings vs. Warriors:

• Warriors vs. Kings spread: Golden State -2
• Warriors vs. Kings over/under: 235 points 
• Warriors vs. Kings money line: Golden State -125, Sacramento +105
• GS: The Warriors are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games following an ATS loss
• SAC: The Under is 6-1 in the Kings’ last seven Wednesday games
• Warriors vs. Kings picks: See picks at SportsLine

Featured Game | Sacramento Kings vs. Golden State Warriors

Why the Kings can cover

Guard Fox is listed as questionable (finger) but is expected to suit up. Fox is an explosive floor general with great length and speed. The Kentucky product can quickly penetrate the lane and be an energetic defender on the other end. Fox is leading the team in points (31.5), assists (7), and steals (2.5) this postseason. In Game 4, he tallied 38 points, nine boards, and five assists.

The Kings have plenty of weapons that can score for them such as forward Harrison Barnes, who has the ability to put the ball on the deck and be an asset from the perimeter. The North Carolina product is averaging 13 points and 4.3 rebounds per game in the playoffs, and he supplied 17 points in Game 3. Meanwhile, guard Davion Mitchell provides Sacramento with a tough, hard-nosed defender off the bench. Mitchell has a quick first step and isn’t afraid to attack the lane as the Baylor product dropped at least 12 points in two of his last three games. In Game 4, Mitchell finished with 12 points and went 5-of-8 from the field. See which side to back at SportsLine.

Why the Warriors can cover

Guard Stephen Curry is an offensive juggernaut due to his ability to hit a shot anywhere on the court. Curry has great vision as a passer while being able to consistently dribble and finish in traffic. The nine-time All-Star is averaging a team-best 31.5 points with five rebounds and 3.8 assists per contest in the playoffs. Additionally, he’s shooting 40% from downtown on 12.5 attempts per game. In Game 4, Curry amassed 32 points, four assists, and knocked down five 3-pointers. 

Forward Andrew Wiggins is very talented with plenty of tools. Wiggins has good length and explosiveness on the perimeter as both a scorer and defender. The Kansas product is third on the squad in scoring (19.3) along with 5.8 rebounds and 2.3 blocks per game thus far in the postseason. He’s supplied at least 20 points in two of the four games against Sacramento. See which side to back at SportsLine.

How to make Kings vs. Warriors picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning Over on the point total, projecting the teams to combine for 241 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in almost 60% of simulations. You can see the model’s picks at SportsLine. 

So who wins Warriors vs. Kings? And which side of the spread hits almost 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that is 71-38 on top-rated NBA picks, and find out.